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| <h1>NetBeans Users Expect Linux Adoption |
| of Java in 2007</h1> |
| <br> |
| Our recent poll asked six NetBeans experts to look ahead in 2007 and |
| make predictions for NetBeans and the Java industry. The NetBeans |
| community voted over a month and by a narrow margin decided that |
| Jaroslav “Yarda” Tulach’s prediction was most likely to happen. His |
| forecast, that Linux users would adopt Java as a result of last year’s |
| open-sourcing, received 25% of the votes. Evangelist Gregg Sporar’s |
| outlook on the growth of EJB3 and the Java Persistence API was a |
| close second with 13 less votes. Do NetBeans evangelists know something |
| most of us don’t? Another evangelist, Roman Strobl, received the third |
| most votes |
| with his prediction that NetBeans would see increased market share.<br> |
| <br> |
| <h5>Results of the Poll:</h5> |
| <br> |
| <ul> |
| 25% — Linux community adopts Java (Jaroslav “Yarda” Tulach)<br> |
| <br> |
| 23% — EJB3 and the Java Persistence API gain momentum (Gregg Sporar)<br> |
| <br> |
| 18% — NetBeans market share will continue to grow (Roman Strobl)<br> |
| <br> |
| 15% — Java desktop APIs improve (Leonardo Galväo)<br> |
| <br> |
| 8% — NetBeans IDE's scripting support attracts new users (Geertjan |
| Wielenga)<br> |
| <br> |
| 5% — Sun will strengthen its investments in open-source communities |
| (Bruno Souza)<br> |
| <br> |
| 5% — Others |
| </ul> |
| <br> |
| (<a |
| href="https://netbeans.org/community/articles/prediction2007.html">Read |
| the detailed predictions</a>.)<br> |
| <br> |
| Voters also had the option of casting ballots for their own forecast. A |
| few entries touched on the after-effects of Java going |
| open-source, while most anticipated a rise in the number of new and |
| experienced developers using the NetBeans IDE. Submitted predictions |
| included:<br> |
| <br> |
| <ul> |
| “With Visual Web Pack, NetBeans became an alternative to Visual Studio |
| 2005. In the next version of NetBeans, it must be added full support |
| of Ajax without updating from NetBeans updater.”<br> |
| <br> |
| “Thanks to the NetBeans Platform Book, we will see an explosion of |
| NetBeans Modules.”<br> |
| <br> |
| “NetBeans will increase the productivity potential of many thousands of |
| developers by recognizing the high priority need for, and implementing |
| VIM (or VIM-like functionality) as an editor choice within the IDE.”<br> |
| <br> |
| “Java overcomes current performance limitations due to open-source |
| efforts.”<br> |
| <br> |
| “As much as possible, some developers will develop their applications |
| using the Ruby language because the Java language is becoming complex |
| and ugly because of a lack of good language design philosophy.” |
| </ul> |
| <br> |
| <br> |
| While the idea of a poll might suggest that there are correct answers |
| and those that are less so, in an interview about the prediction poll |
| Tulach thoughtfully |
| pointed out that there were no right or wrong entries. And perhaps |
| there is no better evidence of this than the recent “year in preview” |
| article by popular tech blogger <a href="http://www-128.ibm.com/developerworks/java/library/j-java2007.html"> |
| Elliotte Harold</a> in which he expanded on many |
| of the same points—Linux adoption of Java, increased NetBeans market |
| share, and more—summed up by our NetBeans experts. Thus, an ideal |
| assessment of the final results should not focus on perceived |
| shortcomings of any of the six entries, but instead recognize what they |
| have in common: a positive outlook for NetBeans and Java in 2007.<br> |
| <br> |
| Thank you to our six NetBeans experts and all those who voted!<br> |
| <h2><br> |
| </h2> |
| <h1>Interview with Jaroslav “Yarda” Tulach</h1> |
| <img alt="Yarda Tulach Sketch" src="../../images_www/articles/prediction2007/yarda_sketch.jpg" |
| style="width: 200px; height: 230px;" align="left" hspace="5"><br> |
| <h5>Congratulations Yarda. Your prediction: “Linux community adopts |
| Java” |
| received the most votes.</h5> |
| <br> |
| Thank you. I am glad the voters found my prediction appealing, however |
| the important part is to make the prediction really true. Then I'll be |
| feeling really happy.<br> |
| <br> |
| <h5>Let’s talk a bit more about your prediction. Have you started to |
| notice |
| any trends as a result of Java going open-source?</h5> |
| <br> |
| Not much happened since last fall (when Sun open-sourced hotspot, javac |
| and javahelp), I guess people are mostly waiting for Sun to open-source |
| the rest of the JDK. However we, here in NetBeans, are not just |
| waiting. I am trying as hard as I can to create RPMs for NetBeans 6.0 |
| so people using RPM-based Linux distribution can just install NetBeans |
| using the most natural way they are used to. By the way, if anyone |
| wants to help me in testing these packages, drop me an <a href="mailto:Jaroslav.Tulach@Sun.COM">email</a>, please.<br> |
| <br> |
| <h5>What did you think of the other forecasts in the survey?</h5> |
| <br> |
| I believe that everyone selected the most important event from area of |
| own expertise. EJB3 is definitely going to gain momentum; scripting is |
| likely to gain some attention, also due to improved NetBeans support. So |
| it is just a matter of choosing absolute winner from all the "local" |
| winners.<br> |
| <br> |
| <h5>If your prediction turns out to be right, will you consider |
| becoming a |
| “Tech Psychic”?</h5> |
| <br> |
| No. If you look at Bruno's and Leonardo's predictions, they are almost |
| the same as mine, that is why it seems there is no magic in predicting |
| success of open-source Java. People who believe in open-source are |
| generally convinced this is going to be big.<br> |
| <br> |
| <h5>Your picture is rather unique. Can you tell us more about the |
| sketch?</h5> |
| <br> |
| There is not much to say. Many years ago I was dating a painter....<br> |
| <br> |
| <br> |
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