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| <div class="title">Linear Regression<div class="ingroups"><a class="el" href="group__grp__glm.html">Generalized Linear Models</a></div></div> </div> |
| </div><!--header--> |
| <div class="contents"> |
| <div class="toc"><b>Contents</b></p> |
| <ul> |
| <li class="level1"> |
| <a href="#about">About</a> </li> |
| <li class="level1"> |
| <a href="#train">Training Function</a> </li> |
| <li class="level1"> |
| <a href="#output">Output Table</a> </li> |
| <li class="level1"> |
| <a href="#predict">Prediction Function</a> </li> |
| <li class="level1"> |
| <a href="#examples">Examples</a> </li> |
| <li class="level1"> |
| <a href="#seealso">See Also</a> </li> |
| <li class="level1"> |
| <a href="#background">Technical Background</a> </li> |
| <li class="level1"> |
| <a href="#literature">Literature</a> </li> |
| </ul> |
| </div><p><a class="anchor" id="about"></a></p> |
| <dl class="section user"><dt>About</dt><dd>Ordinary Least Squares Regression, also called Linear Regression, is a statistical model used to fit linear models.</dd></dl> |
| <p>It models a linear relationship of a scalar dependent variable \( y \) to one or more explanatory independent variables \( x \) to build a model of coefficients.</p> |
| <p><a class="anchor" id="train"></a></p> |
| <dl class="section user"><dt>Training Function</dt><dd><pre class="fragment">linregr_train( |
| source_table, |
| out_table, |
| dependent_varname, |
| independent_varname, |
| input_group_cols, |
| heteroskedasticity_option) |
| </pre> <b>Arguments</b> <dl class="arglist"> |
| <dt>source_table </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">TEXT. The name of the table containing the training data.</p> |
| <p class="enddd"></p> |
| </dd> |
| <dt>out_table </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">TEXT. Name of the generated table containing the output model.</p> |
| <p class="enddd"></p> |
| </dd> |
| <dt>dependent_varname </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">TEXT. Expression to evaluate for the dependent variable.</p> |
| <p class="enddd"></p> |
| </dd> |
| <dt>independent_varname </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">TEXT. Expression list to evaluate for the independent variables. An intercept variable is not assumed. It is common to provide an explicit intercept term by including a single constant <code>1</code> term in the independent variable list.</p> |
| <p class="enddd"></p> |
| </dd> |
| <dt>input_group_cols (optional) </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">TEXT, default: NULL. An expression list used to group the input dataset into discrete groups, running one regression per group. Similar to the SQL <code>GROUP BY</code> clause. When this value is null, no grouping is used and a single result model is generated.</p> |
| <p class="enddd"></p> |
| </dd> |
| <dt>heteroskedasticity_option (optional) </dt> |
| <dd>BOOLEAN, default: FALSE. When TRUE, the heteroskedasticity of the model is also calculated and returned with the results. </dd> |
| </dl> |
| </dd></dl> |
| <p><a class="anchor" id="notes"></a></p> |
| <dl class="section note"><dt>Note</dt><dd>All table names can be optionally schema qualified (current_schemas() would be searched if a schema name is not provided) and all table and column names should follow case-sensitivity and quoting rules per the database. (For instance, 'mytable' and 'MyTable' both resolve to the same entity, i.e. 'mytable'. If mixed-case or multi-byte characters are desired for entity names then the string should be double-quoted; in this case the input would be '"MyTable"').</dd></dl> |
| <p><a class="anchor" id="output"></a></p> |
| <dl class="section user"><dt>Output Table</dt><dd>The output table produced by the linear regression training function contains the following columns. <dl class="arglist"> |
| <dt><...> </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">Any grouping columns provided during training. Present only if the grouping option is used.</p> |
| <p class="enddd"></p> |
| </dd> |
| <dt>coef </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">FLOAT8[]. Vector of the coefficients of the regression.</p> |
| <p class="enddd"></p> |
| </dd> |
| <dt>r2 </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">FLOAT8. R-squared coefficient of determination of the model.</p> |
| <p class="enddd"></p> |
| </dd> |
| <dt>std_err </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">FLOAT8[]. Vector of the standard error of the coefficients.</p> |
| <p class="enddd"></p> |
| </dd> |
| <dt>t_stats </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">FLOAT8[]. Vector of the t-statistics of the coefficients.</p> |
| <p class="enddd"></p> |
| </dd> |
| <dt>p_values </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">FLOAT8[]. Vector of the p-values of the coefficients.</p> |
| <p class="enddd"></p> |
| </dd> |
| <dt>condition_no </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">FLOAT8 array. The condition number of the \(X^{*}X\) matrix. A high condition number is usually an indication that there may be some numeric instability in the result yielding a less reliable model. A high condition number often results when there is a significant amount of colinearity in the underlying design matrix, in which case other regression techniques, such as elastic net regression, may be more appropriate.</p> |
| <p class="enddd"></p> |
| </dd> |
| <dt>bp_stats </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">FLOAT8. The Breush-Pagan statistic of heteroskedacity. Present only if the heteroskedacity argument was set to True when the model was trained.</p> |
| <p class="enddd"></p> |
| </dd> |
| <dt>bp_p_value </dt> |
| <dd>FLOAT8. The Breush-Pagan calculated p-value. Present only if the heteroskedacity parameter was set to True when the model was trained. </dd> |
| </dl> |
| </dd></dl> |
| <p><a class="anchor" id="predict"></a></p> |
| <dl class="section user"><dt>Prediction Function</dt><dd><pre class="fragment">linregr_predict( |
| coef, |
| col_ind |
| ) |
| </pre> <b>Arguments</b> <dl class="arglist"> |
| <dt>coef </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">FLOAT8[]. Vector of the coefficients of regression.</p> |
| <p class="enddd"></p> |
| </dd> |
| <dt>col_ind </dt> |
| <dd><p class="startdd">FLOAT8[]. An array containing the independent variable column names. </p> |
| <p class="enddd"><a class="anchor" id="examples"></a></p> |
| </dd> |
| </dl> |
| </dd></dl> |
| <dl class="section user"><dt>Examples</dt><dd><ol type="1"> |
| <li>Create an input data set. <pre class="fragment">CREATE TABLE houses (id INT, tax INT, bedroom INT, bath FLOAT, price INT, |
| size INT, lot INT); |
| COPY houses FROM STDIN WITH DELIMITER '|'; |
| 1 | 590 | 2 | 1 | 50000 | 770 | 22100 |
| 2 | 1050 | 3 | 2 | 85000 | 1410 | 12000 |
| 3 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 22500 | 1060 | 3500 |
| 4 | 870 | 2 | 2 | 90000 | 1300 | 17500 |
| 5 | 1320 | 3 | 2 | 133000 | 1500 | 30000 |
| 6 | 1350 | 2 | 1 | 90500 | 820 | 25700 |
| 7 | 2790 | 3 | 2.5 | 260000 | 2130 | 25000 |
| 8 | 680 | 2 | 1 | 142500 | 1170 | 22000 |
| 9 | 1840 | 3 | 2 | 160000 | 1500 | 19000 |
| 10 | 3680 | 4 | 2 | 240000 | 2790 | 20000 |
| 11 | 1660 | 3 | 1 | 87000 | 1030 | 17500 |
| 12 | 1620 | 3 | 2 | 118600 | 1250 | 20000 |
| 13 | 3100 | 3 | 2 | 140000 | 1760 | 38000 |
| 14 | 2070 | 2 | 3 | 148000 | 1550 | 14000 |
| 15 | 650 | 3 | 1.5 | 65000 | 1450 | 12000 |
| \. |
| </pre></li> |
| <li>Train a regression model. <pre class="fragment">-- A single regression for all the data |
| SELECT madlib.linregr_train( |
| 'houses', |
| 'houses_linregr', |
| 'price', |
| 'ARRAY[1, tax, bath, size]'); |
| |
| -- 3 output models, one for each value of "bedroom" |
| SELECT madlib.linregr_train( |
| 'houses', |
| 'houses_linregr_bedroom', |
| 'price', |
| 'ARRAY[1, tax, bath, size]', |
| 'bedroom'); |
| </pre></li> |
| <li>Examine the resulting models. <pre class="fragment">-- Set extended display on for easier reading of output |
| \x on |
| SELECT * from houses_linregr; |
| SELECT * FROM houses_linregr_bedroom; |
| |
| -- Alternatively you can unnest the results for easier reading of output |
| \x off |
| SELECT unnest(ARRAY['intercept','tax','bath','size']) as attribute, |
| unnest(coef) as coefficient, |
| unnest(std_err) as standard_error, |
| unnest(t_stats) as t_stat, |
| unnest(p_values) as pvalue |
| FROM houses_linregr; |
| </pre></li> |
| <li>Use the prediction function to evaluate residuals. <pre class="fragment">SELECT houses.*, |
| madlib.linregr_predict( |
| ARRAY[1,tax,bath,size], |
| m.coef) as predict, |
| price - |
| madlib.linregr_predict( |
| ARRAY[1,tax,bath,size], |
| m.coef) as residual |
| FROM houses, houses_linregr m; |
| </pre></li> |
| </ol> |
| </dd></dl> |
| <p><a class="anchor" id="seealso"></a></p> |
| <dl class="section see"><dt>See Also</dt><dd>File <a class="el" href="linear_8sql__in.html" title="SQL functions for linear regression. ">linear.sql_in</a>, documenting the SQL training functions </dd> |
| <dd> |
| <a class="el" href="linear_8sql__in.html#a71d8295a18e93619b3331cefabe6e79b" title="Compute linear regression coefficients and diagnostic statistics. ">linregr()</a> </dd> |
| <dd> |
| <a class="el" href="logistic_8sql__in.html#a32880a39de2e36b6c6be72691a6a4a40" title="Compute logistic-regression coefficients and diagnostic statistics. ">logregr_train()</a> </dd> |
| <dd> |
| <a class="el" href="elastic__net_8sql__in.html#a735038a5090c112505c740a90a203e83" title="Interface for elastic net. ">elastic_net_train()</a> </dd> |
| <dd> |
| <a class="el" href="group__grp__robust.html">Huber White Variance</a> </dd> |
| <dd> |
| <a class="el" href="group__grp__clustered__errors.html">Clustered Variance</a> </dd> |
| <dd> |
| <a class="el" href="group__grp__validation.html">Cross Validation</a></dd></dl> |
| <p><a class="anchor" id="background"></a></p> |
| <dl class="section user"><dt>Technical Background</dt><dd></dd></dl> |
| <p>Ordinary least-squares (OLS) linear regression refers to a stochastic model in which the conditional mean of the dependent variable (usually denoted \( Y \)) is an affine function of the vector of independent variables (usually denoted \( \boldsymbol x \)). That is, </p> |
| <p class="formulaDsp"> |
| \[ E[Y \mid \boldsymbol x] = \boldsymbol c^T \boldsymbol x \] |
| </p> |
| <p> for some unknown vector of coefficients \( \boldsymbol c \). The assumption is that the residuals are i.i.d. distributed Gaussians. That is, the (conditional) probability density of \( Y \) is given by </p> |
| <p class="formulaDsp"> |
| \[ f(y \mid \boldsymbol x) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{2 \pi \sigma^2}} \cdot \exp\left(-\frac{1}{2 \sigma^2} \cdot (y - \boldsymbol x^T \boldsymbol c)^2 \right) \,. \] |
| </p> |
| <p> OLS linear regression finds the vector of coefficients \( \boldsymbol c \) that maximizes the likelihood of the observations.</p> |
| <p>Let</p> |
| <ul> |
| <li>\( \boldsymbol y \in \mathbf R^n \) denote the vector of observed dependent variables, with \( n \) rows, containing the observed values of the dependent variable,</li> |
| <li>\( X \in \mathbf R^{n \times k} \) denote the design matrix with \( k \) columns and \( n \) rows, containing all observed vectors of independent variables. \( \boldsymbol x_i \) as rows,</li> |
| <li>\( X^T \) denote the transpose of \( X \),</li> |
| <li>\( X^+ \) denote the pseudo-inverse of \( X \).</li> |
| </ul> |
| <p>Maximizing the likelihood is equivalent to maximizing the log-likelihood \( \sum_{i=1}^n \log f(y_i \mid \boldsymbol x_i) \), which simplifies to minimizing the <b>residual sum of squares</b> \( RSS \) (also called sum of squared residuals or sum of squared errors of prediction), </p> |
| <p class="formulaDsp"> |
| \[ RSS = \sum_{i=1}^n ( y_i - \boldsymbol c^T \boldsymbol x_i )^2 = (\boldsymbol y - X \boldsymbol c)^T (\boldsymbol y - X \boldsymbol c) \,. \] |
| </p> |
| <p> The first-order conditions yield that the \( RSS \) is minimized at </p> |
| <p class="formulaDsp"> |
| \[ \boldsymbol c = (X^T X)^+ X^T \boldsymbol y \,. \] |
| </p> |
| <p>Computing the <b>total sum of squares</b> \( TSS \), the <b>explained sum of squares</b> \( ESS \) (also called the regression sum of squares), and the <b>coefficient of determination</b> \( R^2 \) is done according to the following formulas: </p> |
| <p class="formulaDsp"> |
| \begin{align*} ESS & = \boldsymbol y^T X \boldsymbol c - \frac{ \| y \|_1^2 }{n} \\ TSS & = \sum_{i=1}^n y_i^2 - \frac{ \| y \|_1^2 }{n} \\ R^2 & = \frac{ESS}{TSS} \end{align*} |
| </p> |
| <p> Note: The last equality follows from the definition \( R^2 = 1 - \frac{RSS}{TSS} \) and the fact that for linear regression \( TSS = RSS + ESS \). A proof of the latter can be found, e.g., at: <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sum_of_squares">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sum_of_squares</a></p> |
| <p>We estimate the variance \( Var[Y - \boldsymbol c^T \boldsymbol x \mid \boldsymbol x] \) as </p> |
| <p class="formulaDsp"> |
| \[ \sigma^2 = \frac{RSS}{n - k} \] |
| </p> |
| <p> and compute the t-statistic for coefficient \( i \) as </p> |
| <p class="formulaDsp"> |
| \[ t_i = \frac{c_i}{\sqrt{\sigma^2 \cdot \left( (X^T X)^{-1} \right)_{ii} }} \,. \] |
| </p> |
| <p>The \( p \)-value for coefficient \( i \) gives the probability of seeing a value at least as extreme as the one observed, provided that the null hypothesis ( \( c_i = 0 \)) is true. Letting \( F_\nu \) denote the cumulative density function of student-t with \( \nu \) degrees of freedom, the \( p \)-value for coefficient \( i \) is therefore </p> |
| <p class="formulaDsp"> |
| \[ p_i = \Pr(|T| \geq |t_i|) = 2 \cdot (1 - F_{n - k}( |t_i| )) \] |
| </p> |
| <p> where \( T \) is a student-t distributed random variable with mean 0.</p> |
| <p>The condition number [2] \( \kappa(X) = \|X\|_2\cdot\|X^{-1}\|_2\) is computed as the product of two spectral norms [3]. The spectral norm of a matrix \(X\) is the largest singular value of \(X\) i.e. the square root of the largest eigenvalue of the positive-semidefinite matrix \(X^{*}X\):</p> |
| <p class="formulaDsp"> |
| \[ \|X\|_2 = \sqrt{\lambda_{\max}\left(X^{*}X\right)}\ , \] |
| </p> |
| <p> where \(X^{*}\) is the conjugate transpose of \(X\). The condition number of a linear regression problem is a worst-case measure of how sensitive the result is to small perturbations of the input. A large condition number (say, more than 1000) indicates the presence of significant multicollinearity.</p> |
| <p><a class="anchor" id="literature"></a></p> |
| <dl class="section user"><dt>Literature</dt><dd></dd></dl> |
| <p>[1] Cosma Shalizi: Statistics 36-350: Data Mining, Lecture Notes, 21 October 2009, <a href="http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~cshalizi/350/lectures/17/lecture-17.pdf">http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~cshalizi/350/lectures/17/lecture-17.pdf</a></p> |
| <p>[2] Wikipedia: Condition Number, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Condition_number">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Condition_number</a>.</p> |
| <p>[3] Wikipedia: Spectral Norm, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spectral_norm#Spectral_norm">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spectral_norm#Spectral_norm</a></p> |
| <p>[4] Wikipedia: Breusch–Pagan test, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Breusch%E2%80%93Pagan_test">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Breusch%E2%80%93Pagan_test</a></p> |
| <p>[5] Wikipedia: Heteroscedasticity-consistent standard errors, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heteroscedasticity-consistent_standard_errors">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heteroscedasticity-consistent_standard_errors</a> </p> |
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