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<h4>API Snapshots:
<a href="https://apache.github.io/datasketches-java/6.0.0/">Java Core</a>,
<a href="https://apache.github.io/datasketches-cpp/5.0.2/">C++ Core</a>,
<a href="https://apache.github.io/datasketches-python/5.0.2/">Python</a>,
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<p id="background">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_background">Background</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/Background/TheChallenge.html">•The Challenge</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Background/SketchOrigins.html">•Sketch Origins</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Background/SketchElements.html">•Sketch Elements</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Background/Presentations.html">•Presentations</a></li>
<li><a href="https://github.com/apache/datasketches-website/tree/master/docs/pdf/DataSketches_deck.pdf">•Overview Slide Deck</a></li>
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<li><a href="/docs/Architecture/MajorSketchFamilies.html">•The Major Sketch Families</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Architecture/LargeScale.html">•Large Scale Computing</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Architecture/KeyFeatures.html">•Key Features</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Architecture/SketchFeaturesMatrix.html">•Sketch Features Matrix</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Architecture/Components.html">•Components</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Architecture/SketchesByComponent.html">•Sketches by Component</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Architecture/SketchCriteria.html">•Sketch Criteria</a></li>
<p id="memory-component">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_memory_component">Memory Component</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/Memory/MemoryComponent.html">•Memory Component</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Memory/MemoryPerformance.html">•Memory Component Performance</a></li>
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<li><a href="/docs/Architecture/OrderSensitivity.html">•Notes on Order Sensitivity</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Architecture/Concurrency.html">•Notes on Concurrency</a></li>
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<p id="sketch-families">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_sketch_families">Sketch Families</a>
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<p id="distinct-counting">
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<li><a href="/docs/DistinctCountFeaturesMatrix.html">•Features Matrix</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/DistinctCountMeritComparisons.html">•Figures-of-Merit Comparison</a></li>
<p id="cpc-sketches">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_cpc_sketches">CPC Sketches</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/CPC/CPC.html">•CPC Sketch</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/CPC/CpcPerformance.html">•CPC Sketch Performance</a></li>
<p id="cpc-examples">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_cpc_examples">CPC Examples</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/CPC/CpcJavaExample.html">•CPC Sketch Java Example</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/CPC/CpcCppExample.html">•CPC Sketch C++ Example</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/CPC/CpcPigExample.html">•CPC Sketch Pig UDFs</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/CPC/CpcHiveExample.html">•CPC Sketch Hive UDFs</a></li>
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<p id="hyperloglog-sketches">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_hyperloglog_sketches">HyperLogLog Sketches</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/HLL/HLL.html">•HLL Sketch</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/HLL/HllMap.html">•HLL Map Sketch</a></li>
<p id="hll-examples">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_hll_examples">HLL Examples</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/HLL/HllJavaExample.html">•HLL Sketch Java Example</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/HLL/HllCppExample.html">•HLL Sketch C++ Example</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/HLL/HllPigUDFs.html">•HLL Sketch Pig UDFs</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/HLL/HllHiveUDFs.html">•HLL Sketch Hive UDFs</a></li>
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<p id="hll-studies">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_hll_studies">HLL Studies</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/HLL/HllPerformance.html">•HLL Sketch Performance</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/HLL/Hll_vs_CS_Hllpp.html">•HLL vs Clearspring HLL++</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/HLL/HllSketchVsDruidHyperLogLogCollector.html">•HLL Sketch vs Druid HyperLogLogCollector</a></li>
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<p id="theta-sketches">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_theta_sketches">Theta Sketches</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaSketchFramework.html">•Theta Sketch Framework</a></li>
<p id="theta-examples">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_theta_examples">Theta Examples</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ConcurrentThetaSketch.html">•Concurrent Theta Sketch</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaJavaExample.html">•Theta Sketch Java Example</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaSparkExample.html">•Theta Sketch Spark Example</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaPigUDFs.html">•Theta Sketch Pig UDFs</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaHiveUDFs.html">•Theta Sketch Hive UDFs</a></li>
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<p id="kmv-tutorial">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_kmv_tutorial">KMV Tutorial</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/Theta/InverseEstimate.html">•The Inverse Estimate</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/KMVempty.html">•Empty Sketch</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/KMVfirstEst.html">•First Estimator</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/KMVbetterEst.html">•Better Estimator</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/KMVrejection.html">•Rejection Rules</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/KMVupdateVkth.html">•Update V(kth) Rule</a></li>
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<p id="set-operations-and-p-sampling">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_set_operations_and_p-sampling">Set Operations and P-sampling</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaSketchSetOps.html">•Set Operations</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaSetOpsCornerCases.html">•Model & Test Set Operations</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaPSampling.html"><i>p</i>-Sampling</a></li>
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<p id="accuracy">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_accuracy">Accuracy</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaAccuracy.html">•Basic Accuracy</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaAccuracyPlots.html">•Accuracy Plots</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaErrorTable.html">•Relative Error Table</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaSketchSetOpsAccuracy.html">•SetOp Accuracy</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/AccuracyOfDifferentKUnions.html">•Unions With Different k</a></li>
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<p id="size">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_size">Size</a>
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<div class="collapse" id="collapse_size">
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaSize.html">•Theta Sketch Size</a></li>
</div>
<p id="speed">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_speed">Speed</a>
</p>
<div class="collapse" id="collapse_speed">
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaUpdateSpeed.html">•Update Speed</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaMergeSpeed.html">•Merge Speed</a></li>
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<p id="theta-sketch-theory">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_theta_sketch_theory">Theta Sketch Theory</a>
</p>
<div class="collapse" id="collapse_theta_sketch_theory">
<li><a href="https://github.com/apache/datasketches-website/tree/master/docs/pdf/ThetaSketchFramework.pdf">•Theta Sketch Framework (PDF)</a></li>
<li><a href="https://github.com/apache/datasketches-website/tree/master/docs/pdf/ThetaSketchEquations.pdf">•Theta Sketch Equations (PDF)</a></li>
<li><a href="https://github.com/apache/datasketches-website/tree/master/docs/pdf/DataSketches.pdf">•DataSketches (PDF)</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaConfidenceIntervals.html">•Confidence Intervals Notes</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaMergingAlgorithm.html">•Merging Algorithm Notes</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Theta/ThetaReferences.html">•Theta References</a></li>
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<p id="tuple-sketches">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_tuple_sketches">Tuple Sketches</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/Tuple/TupleOverview.html">•Tuple Overview</a></li>
<p id="tuple-examples">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_tuple_examples">Tuple Examples</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/Tuple/TupleJavaExample.html">•Tuple Java Example</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Tuple/TupleEngagementExample.html">•Tuple Engagement Example</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Tuple/TuplePigUDFs.html">•Tuple Pig UDFs</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Tuple/TupleHiveUDFs.html">•Tuple Hive UDFs</a></li>
</div>
</div>
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<p id="most-frequent">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_most_frequent">Most Frequent</a>
</p>
<div class="collapse" id="collapse_most_frequent">
<li><a href="/docs/Frequency/FrequencySketchesOverview.html">•Frequency Sketches Overview</a></li>
<p id="frequent-item-sketches">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_frequent_item_sketches">Frequent Item Sketches</a>
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<div class="collapse" id="collapse_frequent_item_sketches">
<li><a href="/docs/Frequency/FrequentItemsOverview.html">•Frequent Items Overview</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Frequency/FrequentItemsErrorTable.html">•Frequent Items Error Table</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Frequency/FrequentItemsReferences.html">•Frequent Items References</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Frequency/FrequentItemsPerformance.html">•Frequent Items Performance</a></li>
<p id="most-frequent-examples">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_most_frequent_examples">Most Frequent Examples</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/Frequency/FrequentItemsJavaExample.html">•Frequent Items Java Example</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Frequency/FrequentItemsCppExample.html">•Frequent Items C++ Example</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Frequency/FrequentItemsPigUDFs.html">•Frequent Items Pig UDFs</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Frequency/FrequentItemsHiveUDFs.html">•Frequent Items Hive UDFs</a></li>
</div>
</div>
<p id="frequent-distinct-sketches">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_frequent_distinct_sketches">Frequent Distinct Sketches</a>
</p>
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<li><a href="/docs/Frequency/FrequentDistinctTuplesSketch.html">•Frequent Distinct Tuples Sketch</a></li>
</div>
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<p id="quantiles-and-histograms">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_quantiles_and_histograms">Quantiles And Histograms</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/Quantiles/SketchingQuantilesAndRanksTutorial.html">•Quantiles and Ranks Tutorial</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Quantiles/QuantilesOverview.html">•Quantiles Overview</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/KLL/KLLSketch.html">•KLL Sketch Family</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/KLL/KLLAccuracyAndSize.html">•KLL Sketch Accuracy and Size</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/REQ/ReqSketch.html">•REQ Floats sketch</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Quantiles/ClassicQuantilesSketch.html">•Classic Quantiles Sketches</a></li>
<p id="quantiles-examples">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_quantiles_examples">Quantiles Examples</a>
</p>
<div class="collapse" id="collapse_quantiles_examples">
<li><a href="/docs/Quantiles/QuantilesJavaExample.html">•Quantiles Sketch Java Example</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/KLL/KLLCppExample.html">•KLL Quantiles Sketch C++ Example</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Quantiles/QuantilesPigUDFs.html">•Quantiles Sketch Pig UDFs</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Quantiles/QuantilesHiveUDFs.html">•Quantiles Sketch Hive UDFs</a></li>
</div>
<p id="quantiles-studies">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_quantiles_studies">Quantiles Studies</a>
</p>
<div class="collapse" id="collapse_quantiles_studies">
<li><a href="/docs/QuantilesStudies/DruidApproxHistogramStudy.html">•Druid Approximate Histogram</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/QuantilesStudies/MomentsSketchStudy.html">•Moments Sketch Study</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/QuantilesStudies/QuantilesStreamAStudy.html">•Quantiles StreamA Study</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/QuantilesStudies/ExactQuantiles.html">•Exact Quantiles for Studies</a></li>
</div>
<p id="quantiles-sketch-theory">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_quantiles_sketch_theory">Quantiles Sketch Theory</a>
</p>
<div class="collapse" id="collapse_quantiles_sketch_theory">
<li><a href="https://github.com/apache/datasketches-website/tree/master/docs/pdf/Quantiles_KLL.pdf">•Optimal Quantile Approximation in Streams</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Quantiles/QuantilesReferences.html">•Quantiles References</a></li>
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</div>
<p id="sampling">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_sampling">Sampling</a>
</p>
<div class="collapse" id="collapse_sampling">
<li><a href="/docs/Sampling/ReservoirSampling.html">•Reservoir Sampling</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Sampling/ReservoirSamplingPerformance.html">•Reservoir Sampling Performance</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Sampling/VarOptSampling.html">•VarOpt Sampling</a></li>
<p id="sampling-examples">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_sampling_examples">Sampling Examples</a>
</p>
<div class="collapse" id="collapse_sampling_examples">
<li><a href="/docs/Sampling/ReservoirSamplingJava.html">•Reservoir Sampling Java Example</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Sampling/ReservoirSamplingPigUDFs.html">•Reservoir Sampling Pig UDFs</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Sampling/VarOptSamplingJava.html">•VarOpt Sampling Java Example</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Sampling/VarOptPigUDFs.html">•VarOpt Sampling Pig UDFs</a></li>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<p id="system-integrations">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_system_integrations">System Integrations</a>
</p>
<div class="collapse" id="collapse_system_integrations">
<li><a href="/docs/SystemIntegrations/ApacheDruidIntegration.html">•Using Sketches in ApacheDruid</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/SystemIntegrations/ApacheHiveIntegration.html">•Using Sketches in Apache Hive</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/SystemIntegrations/ApachePigIntegration.html">•Using Sketches in Apache Pig</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/SystemIntegrations/ApachePinotIntegration.html">•Using Sketches in Apache Pinot</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/SystemIntegrations/PostgreSQLIntegration.html">•Using Sketches in PostgreSQL</a></li>
</div>
<p id="community">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_community">Community</a>
</p>
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<li><a href="/docs/Community/index.html">•Community</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Community/Downloads.html">•Downloads</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Community/NewCommitterProcess.html">•Committer Process</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Community/ReleaseProcessForCppComponents.html">•Release Process For CPP Components</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Community/ReleaseProcessForJavaComponents.html">•Release Process For Java Components</a></li>
<li><a href="/docs/Community/Transitioning.html">•Transitioning from prior GitHub Site</a></li>
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<p id="research">
<a data-toggle="collapse" class="menu collapsed" href="#collapse_research">Research</a>
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<li><a href="/docs/Community/Research.html">•Research</a></li>
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<h3>Theta Sketch Confidence Intervals, Notes</h3>
<ol>
<li>
<p>The Theta Sketches within the DataSketches Library provide Frequentist Confidence Intervals
based on the tails of the Binomial Distribution.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>These bounds are only approximate, but we provide a guarantee
(backed by experiments, not by proofs) that neither bound is off
by more than 1 percent of the estimate.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>To avoid numerical issues and high computational cost, the implementation
carves up the input space (|S|, p) into multiple regions, and uses
different approximations on each.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>At a high level, there is a two-way split, between large |S|, and small |S|.
When |S| &gt; 120, the continuity-corrected Gaussian approximation to the Binomial
Distribution satisfies the 1 percent guarantee, so we just use that.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>For small |S| &lt;= 120, the main idea is to fall back to the exact Binomial
Distribution. However, that is expensive, and worse yet, subject to
numerical issues. These issues are serious, and occur when p is very
close to 1.0 or 0.0. Therefore we immediately split off two more cases.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>When p is very close to 1.0, we already know (because |S| is small)
that the answer is [|S|-1, |S|+1], so we just return that instead
of trying to evaluate the incomplete beta function with difficult inputs.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>When p is very close to 0.0 (say 1e-6), one could avoid the numerical issues by
exploiting the fact that the LB and the UB are very close to being
constant multiples of the estimate. The exact multiples would depend on
|S|, and delta, but could be pre-computed and stored in tables.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>It turns that a slightly fancier version of the idea (7) allows a
satisfactory (i.e. 1 percent) approximation to the bounds to be
obtained not only for small p, but also for moderate p [but not for large p].
This version of the idea uses the continuity-corrected Gaussian approximation
to the Binomial Distribution, but with an “adjusted” number of standard
deviations, that is different for the LB and for the UB, and for each value
of |S| and of delta. However, these adjusted numbers can be precomputed
and stored in a table. This is what the library does.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>We have now carved away enough cases so that we only need to compute
exact bounds for 0 &lt;= |S| &lt;= 120, for p values that are large (although
not super-close to 1.0).</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>The switchover between scheme (8) and scheme (9) is determined by a threshold
on p which depends on the value of |S|. The library’s specific threshold |S|/360
was empirically chosen to support the promise of 1 percent accuracy.</p>
<ol>
<li>
<p>The exact bounds needed by scheme (9) could be computed using
binary search on the tails of the Binomial Distribution, with the
latter computed using a high-quality implementation of the
Incomplete Beta Function obtained from a Scientific Computing
library.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>We have written and heavily used some auxiliary code
which does exactly that: binary search using the Incomplete Beta
Function. It was used to pre-compute the tables mentioned in
point (7); to choose values for the various empirically determined
thresholds such as 120 and |S|/360; and finally in an extensive grid
search covering the input parameter space to verify that our overall
approximation scheme satisfies the 1 percent accuracy guarantee.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>However, it was impractical for the Theta Sketch Library as such to include
a high quality implementation of the Incomplete Beta Function; writing one
is a task best left to experts, and we didn’t want the Theta Sketch Library
to have an external dependence on a Scientific library.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Therefore we developed a more direct approach the computing the exact LB and UB.
It is based on an interesting combinatorial identity and exploits the facts
that p &gt;= |S|/360 and |S| &lt;= 120. It employs a simple linear search,
so there is no tricky bracketing and binary search code, and it takes at
most 30 microseconds to compute [the slowest input is |S|=1, p = 1/360].</p>
</li>
</ol>
</li>
<li>
<p>We mention that UB=LB=|S| when p=1, and LB=0 when |S|=0. Also, the library
uses a closed-form expression for the UB when |S|=0, and for the LB when |S|=1.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>So far, we have been discussing the Frequentist Confidence Interval based on the
tails of the Binomial Distribution. In some cases (for example when p is very close
to 1.0) the LB can be smaller than |S|. However, it is obvious that n &gt;= |S|, so the
library returns |S| instead of the official Binomial LB in that case.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>In addition, just in case it is possible (we are not sure) for the
library to compute a confidence interval that doesn’t cover the
estimate, we shield the user from these hypothetical outputs by
by always checking and if necessary growing the interval to cover
the estimate.</p>
</li>
</ol>
<p>Also see the <a href="https://github.com/apache/datasketches-website/tree/master/docs/pdf/ThetaSketchFramework.pdf">Theta Sketch Framework</a> paper.</p>
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